Understanding US Congressional Election Polls and Prediction Models
Keshif built an exploratory dashboard to analyze and geo-spatially visualize a rich proprietary data model based on multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) to predict Congressional race outcomes and potential upsets for the 2018 House of Representatives elections.
| Client | |
| Region North America |
Year 2018 |
| Sectors - Democracy and Governance |
Solutions - Election Results - Surveys |
Impact
The dataset derives from monthly polling of 50,000 households conducted by HarrisX, a nationally recognized polling agency in the United States. Using our solution, audiences can explore results for 435 Congressional Districts through interactive regional and hexagonal maps, and a detailed tabular district view consisting of information related to district status, forecasts, the incumbent party, and approval ratings of the U.S. President.